Predictions
85 of 1,622 predictions match — page 2 of 2. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COD_BIO_005 | Biotech/Longevity | deextinction-platform | Colossal adds at least one more de-extinction species to active embryo-transf… | Codex Research Pack | 3/5 | — | 40.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31 |
| 234_027 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Element Biosciences will launch $600K desktop $100-per-genome machine in seco… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 245_017 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Disease/drought-resistant plants and animals market is currently hundreds of … | Ben Lamm | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 245_035 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Gene drive tech is safer than prior dispersals and can be rolled back | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_028 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Personalized AI-designed medicine stories will repeat until it's n=10 billion. | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_029 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Regime change at the FDA is not beyond the realm of reason. | Alex Wissner-Gross | 2/5 | C | 40.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_032 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | First-generation neural uploads will be destructive; 2nd-4th generation will … | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_044 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Alex: likely user ~1 million of a BCI implant (not 101) once upgradeable. | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_045 | Biotech/Longevity | humanoids | Another humanoid species will emerge at some future point beyond homo sapiens. | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 245_024 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | Colossal gene editing will reach thousands of edits (up from current hundreds) | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2029-11-30 |
| 245_028 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-scaling | Colossal's models and approach to synthetic biology will apply broadly to the… | Ben Lamm | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2029-11-30 |
| AUT_027 | Biotech/Longevity | Longevity-Escape-Velocity-2027 | Integration of AI with advanced bio-sensing, quantum computing, and genomics … | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | B | 22.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2035-09-30 |
| 238_043 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | A mouse will have a full brain uploaded in years, not decades; first human wh… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2035-11-30 |
| AI_032 | Biotech/Longevity | Astromech-predictive-biology | Astromech (co-founded with Harvard geneticist George Church) will quickly bec… | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | B | 18.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2035-09-30 |
| COD_BIO_004 | Biotech/Longevity | mammoth-deextinction | Colossal produces a live mammoth-like elephant calf by end 2028 | Codex Research Pack | 3/5 | — | 32.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-12-31 |
| 232_036 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | AI drug deployment is very hard to launch in US due to human trials; easy in … | Ben Horowitz | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| IND_022 | Biotech/Longevity | Singularity-2040s-brain-to-brain | AGI arrives before 2029 (Turing test); true Singularity (ASI) occurs in 2040s… | Ray Kurzweil | 5/5 | B | 18.0% | pending | 2029-01-01 – 2049-09-30 |
| 235_028 | Biotech/Longevity | $100T | Longevity market will grow from $5 trillion to $8 trillion in next four years. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2030-01-01 – 2030-06-30 |
| 247_031 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Virtual cell simulation by end of decade (2030) | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2030-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| 247_035 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade | Dario Amodei | 4/5 | B | 70.0% | pending | 2030-01-01 – 2030-06-30 |
| AUT_026 | Biotech/Longevity | in-vivo-nanobots-2030s | By the 2030s, autonomous nanobots will be deployed directly into the human bl… | Ray Kurzweil | 4/5 | B | 18.0% | pending | 2030-01-01 – 2039-06-30 |
| IND_009 | Biotech/Longevity | ASI-2030-cure-all-illnesses | Artificial Superintelligence arrives by roughly 2030 — shortly thereafter all… | Demis Hassabis | 5/5 | A | 20.0% | pending | 2030-01-01 – 2040-06-30 |
| IND_028 | Biotech/Longevity | third-bridge-immortality-2030s | Third bridge toward indefinite human lifespans — achieved via synergy of AI a… | Nick Bostrom | 4/5 | C | 12.0% | pending | 2030-01-01 – 2039-06-30 |
| 230_023 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Reversible cryopreservation of brains/organs is nearing; people will be able … | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30 |
| 242_047 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Frontier AI may solve most diseases in 5 years | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2031-01-01 – 2031-11-30 |
| CMQ_006 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-science | Expert-level AI applied to biology/medicine will yield cures for cancer and A… | Dario Amodei | 4/5 | A | 30.0% | pending | 2031-01-01 – 2036-09-30 |
| 235_030 | Biotech/Longevity | AGI | Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. | Ray Kurzweil | 4/5 | B | 75.0% | pending | 2033-01-01 – 2033-09-30 |
| 232_039 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | 150,000 people per day dying on Earth; AI is the best chance to stop that. | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2033-06-01 – 2033-06-30 |
| 230_024 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-scaling | Under a certain age (40-50) life expectancy is infinity due to longevity esca… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2063-06-01 – 2063-06-30 |
| 233_015 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | Infinite longevity is coming for this generation of kids. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2070-06-01 – 2070-06-30 |
| 240_023 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | 45% of dementia cases are entirely preventable | Dr. Don Mucalem | 4/5 | D | 55.0% | pending | — – — |
| 240_052 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Uploading consciousness (whole brain emulation) really will be you in the future | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | — – — |
| 245_023 | Biotech/Longevity | $100T | Colossal considers de-extinction and species preservation a $10 trillion oppo… | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | — – — |
| 245_031 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | 99% of synthetic biology focus will remain on human healthcare; similar tech … | Ben Lamm | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | — – — |
| 245_039 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | Colossal has not yet started work on dinosaurs, corals, dragons or Pokemon | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | — – — |